Chiến dịch giữa nhiệm kỳ của Trump hụt mục tiêu, giới bảo thủ tìm người chịu trách nhiệm

Tóm tắt nhanh

• Republican operatives privately blame President Trump for starting the Iran war in an election year, which they say raised prices and provoked voter backlash.
• A preemptive scapegoating effort has focused on deputy chief of staff James Blair, who organized Trump 2024 turnout strategy and returned to run midterm plans.
• Blair's plan included early redistricting in key states expected to yield about 10–15 House pickups for Republicans if 2024 coalition turned out in 2026.
• Some redistricted seats have flipped toward Democrats: Florida's 25th is now rated "Lean Democrat," prompting the Congressional Leadership Fund to pull money.
• In ruby-red Texas, formerly safe maps are vulnerable; Texas' 15th district with GOP Monica De La Cruz is now rated a "tossup" by Cook Political Report.
• Allies say Blair couldn't have foreseen the Iran war or scandals that undermined his planning, and they call criticism of him unfair.
• Blair reportedly retains Trump and chief of staff Susie Wiles' confidence and recently traveled on Air Force One to two rallies, limiting consequences.
• Trump announced Blair's earlier White House departure as temporary and signaled Blair would return after the election; Blair said they remain focused on winning.
• White House spokesperson Davis Ingle dismissed the WIRED reporting as baseless speculation and said the President is focused on maintaining majorities.
• Sources say scapegoating is partly preemptive: if Republicans still win key races, Blair could be praised; but because he owned the strategy, he's an easy target.

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